In 2022, Ocean delivered the strongest result on record due to the high freight rates and strong demand, particularly in the first half of the year. Ocean revenue was up 33%. Throughout the year, Ocean continued to deliver on the strategic transformation, maintaining a stable level of long-term contracts. Ocean continued to improve on delivery performance over the year as congestion eased and was able to maintain strong margins due to the contractual nature of its customer relationship.
In Logistics & Services, revenue increased by 47%, with an organic contribution of 21%. The organic revenue growth came primarily from top 200 customers as the business continues to develop integrated solutions to meet end to end supply chain needs. Growth was particularly strong in warehousing where the footprint more than doubled to 7.1m sqm with the acquisition of LF Logistics alone adding 198 warehouses or 3.1m sqm.
In Terminals, EBIT adjusted for the Russia exit reached a record of USD 1.2bn, supported by solid volumes growth and high congestion related storage income. Based on a combination of tariff increases and efficiencies the impact of high global inflation has been mitigated.
The Board of Directors proposes a dividend to the shareholders of DKK 4,300 per share of DKK 1,000 (DKK 2,500 per share of DKK 1,000 previous year). The proposed dividend payment represents a dividend yield of 27.5% (10.7% previous year) based on the Maersk B share’s closing price of DKK 15,620 as of 30 December 2022 and 37.5% of net underlying profit. Payment is expected to take place on 31 March 2023 after the Annual General Meeting.
Guidance for 2023
Guidance for 2023 is based on the expectation that inventory correction will be complete by the end of the first half leading to a more balanced demand environment. 2023 global GDP growth is expected to be muted and global ocean container market growth to be in a range of -2.5% to +0.5%. A.P. Moller-Maersk expects to grow in-line with the market.
Based on these assumptions, for the full year 2023, A.P. Moller-Maersk expects an underlying EBITDA of USD 8.0-11.0bn, an underlying EBIT of USD 2.0-5.0bn, and free cash flow (FCF) of at least USD 2.0bn. The CAPEX guidance for 2022-2023 of USD 9.0-10.0bn is maintained. For 2023-2024 the expectation for accumulated CAPEX is USD 10.0-11.0bn, led by investment in our integrator strategy, technology and decarbonisation. Without impacting the financial guidance and in conjunction with the restructuring of our brands an impairment and restructuring charge of USD 450m is expected in Q1.
Financial performance for A.P.Moller – Maersk for the full year 2023 depends on several factors and is subject to uncertainties related to the given uncertain macroeconomic conditions, bunker fuel prices and freight rates. All else being equal, the senstivities for 2023 for four key assumptions are listed below:
|Effect on EBIT (Full year 2023)
Container freight rate
+/- 100 USD/FFE
+/- USD 1.2bn
Container freight volume
+/- 100,000 FFE
+/- USD 0.1bn
Bunker price (net of expected BAF coverage)
+/- 100 USD/tonne
+/- USD 0.4bn
Foreign exchange rate (net of hedges)
+/- 10% change in USD
+/- USD 0.2bn
About A.P. Moller – Maersk
A.P. Moller – Maersk is an integrated logistics company working to connect and simplify its customers’ supply chains. As a global leader in shipping services, the company operates in more than 130 countries and employs over 100,000 people world-wide. Maersk is aiming to reach net zero emissions by 2040 across the entire business with new technologies, new vessels, and green fuels.